??????APP???????????????????????11?·????????γ???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????11?????49.4%???2002??1?????????????????1998???????????11???????

???????????????????????11????????????????????26.3????????20???????28.4?????????11??????С??????????5.1%?????4.6%????4.7%;????11??????С?????????? 0.6%?????0.3%????0.4%??????11?????? 3.7%?????????????3.70%??????11?????????? 62.1%?????62.30%????62.20%??

MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC???Julia Coronado????????????????????????Щ??????????????????(?????????)??????????????????????????????δ????????и?????????????????????????????????????????????????????г?????????

???????????????λ???????????????????????????????10-16??????????????12?????????????淢????????????????????11??????ж?????????10?????????????????????????????????????????????и????????顣

????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????н?????????磬????9??????????????????????72.8%????????95%??????????9?·????????????????????????????26.3?????????????31.5?????????????26.9?????

С????????????????????????ú?????????????????????????????д????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????Michael Feroli??????????????Σ??????????????????????????????????伸????й???????

????????????????????????????????????????????????0.6%??????н?????????Щ?????????????????????????????????ζ??δ????11?·?????????????????????????????????